Today was supposed to start at last. During the day, the negotiating team of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) was expected as a latecomer in Athens. The experts of the euro bailout fund ESM , the European Central Bank (ECB) and the European Commission were already there. After some back and forth, the Greek Government also took them as required in central Athens under. And not being considered as only 20 kilometers outside somewhere on the flat land.
But while the negotiator of the former Troika together now sit in a luxury hotel Hilton, there are within the Government of Alexis Tsipras already armed. The extreme left in any case already left Syriza coalition threaten the Premier with the boycott of further reforms.
Already in the parliamentary decisions on 15 and 22 July on the so-called prior actions, ie those required by the funders measures for further negotiations, had 30 dissidents voted against their party and government.
Without the voices of opposition would Tsipras then not brought the reforms through parliament. Greece would have already failed at the first terms of the euro partners. New negotiations for a third bailout package would not give it today with any certainty. Greece would probably be on the way out of the euro. Only the opposition had the still popular in the country Premier spared such indignity.
Tsipras brings into play new elections
That he so but can not govern in the long term, is the Syriza- Chef clearly. That is why he is now threatening the rebels in his party. So it could not go on, he said in an interview with the radio station Sto Kokkino. It was surreal when deputies of the left wing of the party did not vote on the one hand in Parliament for government policy, but on the other hand, stated that they would support the government.
And then he dropped the ultimate threat. “I would be the last person who wants elections, if I had a secure parliamentary majority to govern until the end of the four-year term,” Tsipras said. “But if I do not have a parliamentary majority, we will be forced to a ballot.”
that the whole might be more than just a rhetorical feint that Tsipras it possibly serious, showing the schedule that he associated with it. As early as September Syriza could discourage a party conference. The Central Committee of the tight left party should decide on Thursday.
A party of factions and splinters
For observers, the development is not unexpected. Even before the announcement of the referendum and a fortiori later, political analysts in Greece had anticipated that Tsipras for a pro-euro exchange rate, although could get the necessary backing in the Greek population – at least for now. Equally certain was the observer, that the ruling party Syriza could break in such a course.
Syriza is not a monolithic party. It consists of groups and splinters. Old communists, Trotskyists, Socialists, left Social Democrats. They all found themselves under the banner of that party again to protest against the austerity policies of international donors.
But one thing has always been clear. The ultra-left sections of the party were even willing to enforce its policy to leave the euro and introduce the drachma as its currency again. Other more moderate factions never wanted to dare the leap. They saw the order of the party ever, to bring about a change in the extreme in their view, austerity in Europe and the monetary union.
Syriza before splitting
that the party could break over at the end, therefore, is not surprising. Even the date can surprise anyone. For now, it comes for Alexis Tsipras – and thus for Syriza – an oath. Negotiates with the Europeans a third rescue package and thus leans new reform provisions? Or it maintains its unfinanzierbaren election promises and thus risking the affiliation of the country to the euro? It was clear that not all intelligence would show into reality.
Should there be new elections, Syriza is likely to split. Some – probably the significantly smaller – could make opposition to Tsipras and its new course. At this party could people like Panagiotis Lafazanis, former Energy Minister, and the President of Parliament Zoe Konstantopoulou belong. Maybe even the former finance minister Janis Varoufakis. The greater part of Syriza but could follow Tsipras and evolve into a kind of left Social Democrats. Pasok 2.0 so.
That, however, also have this internal political turmoil in foreign policy consequences, white Tsipras. Therefore, he tries to bring the threat of new elections in the course of his troop. For the skeptical financiers watching closely whether the date so unreliable government of Alexis Tsipras is in a position to implement its promises. Or whether they backtracked and Greece makes because of tensions within his own party back to the fickle negotiating partner. One who would probably still flying out of the euro at the end.
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